Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?
20
23 comments
23
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
122
Community Prediction
15%
Make a Prediction
50%
community: 15%
Sign Up to Predict
Background Info
Authors:
kokotajlod
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Domestic terrorism in the United States
September 11 attacks
Energy
Military science
Biochemistry
United States biological weapons program
Cyber-security regulation
Cyber-kinetic attack
White supremacy
Antigovernment
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
kokotajlod
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Domestic terrorism in the United States
September 11 attacks
Energy
Military science
Biochemistry
United States biological weapons program
Cyber-security regulation
Cyber-kinetic attack
White supremacy
Antigovernment
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Similar Questions
Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
45%
Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3,000 in any calendar year before 2032?
27%
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
25%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
45%
Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3,000 in any calendar year before 2032?
27%
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
25%
Show More Questions
News Match
America Should Avoid, Not Fight, Future Nuclear Wars
American Conservative
•
Sep 12, 2024
Twenty-three Years After September 11, Have We Seen the End of War?
American Conservative
•
Sep 12, 2024
I Have Seen the Future of Drone Warfare and It Is Frighteningly Beautiful
PJ Media
•
Sep 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
America Should Avoid, Not Fight, Future Nuclear Wars
American Conservative
•
Sep 12, 2024
Twenty-three Years After September 11, Have We Seen the End of War?
American Conservative
•
Sep 12, 2024
I Have Seen the Future of Drone Warfare and It Is Frighteningly Beautiful
PJ Media
•
Sep 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch