Question

When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction2024-07-21

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My Prediction

community

<2021-03-28

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2026-03-28

...

0.2%

2024-02-03 10:36

2024-07-21 16:46

2025-01-22 06:46

5.4%

Authors:

kokotajlod

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Scheduled resolution:

AI Training and Compute

AI Technical Benchmarks

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI

When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?

2035-10-10

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

2025-01-29

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

2.43M

Comments

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Authors:

kokotajlod

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Training and Compute

AI Technical Benchmarks

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI

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TechCrunch•Sep 13, 2024

OpenAI releases o1, its first model with ‘reasoning’ abilities

Verge•Sep 13, 2024

OpenAI reveals new artificial intelligence tool it claims can ‘think’ before answering

Independent•Sep 13, 2024

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