M

Question

What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?

7
5
Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction48.7

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<5e-1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>500
...
...
...
...
...
5.1%
19.62
48.68
123.3
6.3%
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
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Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting AI Progress
AI Progress Essay Contest
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Mathematics
Computer science
TOP500
ISC High Performance
IEEE Supercomputing Conference
LINPACK benchmarks
Software engineering

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