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What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?
7
5 comments
5
1d
1w
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all
Total Forecasters
50
Community Prediction
48.7
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Probability Density
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My Prediction
community
<5e-1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>500
...
...
...
...
...
5.1%
19.62
48.68
123.3
6.3%
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MetaculusOutlooks
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Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting AI Progress
AI Progress Essay Contest
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Mathematics
Computer science
TOP500
ISC High Performance
IEEE Supercomputing Conference
LINPACK benchmarks
Software engineering
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Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting AI Progress
AI Progress Essay Contest
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Mathematics
Computer science
TOP500
ISC High Performance
IEEE Supercomputing Conference
LINPACK benchmarks
Software engineering
Submit Tags Feedback
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