M

Question

If human-level artificial intelligence is developed, will World GDP grow by at least 30.0% in any of the subsequent 15 years?

26
38
Total Forecasters165
Community Prediction57%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 57%
median 57.0%mean 51.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Progress Essay Contest
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Economy & Business
Artificial intelligence
World Bank
Computer science
Robin Hanson
Gross world product

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