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Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

If human-level artificial intelligence is developed, will World GDP grow by at least 30.0% in any of the subsequent 15 years?

After a weak AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent oracle?

Will Robin Hanson win a bet that the GPT line of language models will generate < $1Bn in customer revenue before 2025?

In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?

How many hours a week will coders report using GPT-X Codex type tools in Robin Hanson's 2026 Twitter poll?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

How many subscribers will the Youtube channel Rational Animations have on November 1, 2023?

Will Robin Hanson win his bet against Matthew Barnett on whether ems will come before de novo AGI?

After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?