Question

Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2025?

20 comments20

Total Forecasters203

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

median 99.0%mean 95.6%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Turkey

North Atlantic Treaty

Ukraine–NATO relations

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

2019 Turkish offensive into north-eastern Syria

NATO

Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?

97%

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

10%

Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Turkey

North Atlantic Treaty

Ukraine–NATO relations

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

2019 Turkish offensive into north-eastern Syria

NATO

East is East, West is West − and Turkey is looking to forge its own BRICS path between the two

The Conversation•Sep 12, 2024

Double Standards Reveal the True Western Strategy

AntiWar•Sep 13, 2024

Turkey's 'balancing act' with BRICS may stoke NATO fears, but the West needn't be too worried, analysts say

Business Insider•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?

97%

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

10%