Question

Will TikTok still be available in the United States on December 31, 2025?

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 18

Yes, still owned by foreign adversary

Yes, non-adversary owner

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
Yes, still owned by foreign adversary	52.3%

No	22.1%

Yes, non-adversary owner	10%

Total: ?

(? remaining)

Authors:

jmcdon10

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

Technology

Central Committee of the Communist Party of China

CPC Corporation, Taiwan

Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025?

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

12%

Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025?

37%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jmcdon10

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

Technology

Central Committee of the Communist Party of China

CPC Corporation, Taiwan

TikTok faces crucial court hearing that could decide fate in US

One America•Sep 13, 2024

TikTok faces skeptical judges in hearing over potential ban

NBC•Sep 17, 2024

TikTok grilled in appeals court as judges consider challenge to sale-or-ban bill

New York Post•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025?

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

12%

Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025?

37%