Question

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction3.73

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2.366

3.734

5.693

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Artificial Intelligence

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

24%

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

72%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Artificial Intelligence

So you want to ride a self-driving taxi? How Waymo compares in our tests.

Washington Post•Sep 12, 2024

Waymo and Uber expand their robotaxi partnership to Austin and Atlanta

Verge•Sep 13, 2024

Uber to Launch Driverless Rides in Austin, Atlanta With Waymo

Bloomberg•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

24%

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

72%