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Forecasting the Future of Alt-Meat: A Metaculus Prediction Party
7
7 comments
7
Animal Welfare Series
Will Stripe reach a valuation of $1 trillion (2020 USD) before 2027?
8%
9
16 comments
16
When will Stripe go public?
2025-05-15
8
8 comments
8
If the SF Bay Area is struck with magnitude 7.8 or higher earthquake by 2052, how many people will die?
587
10
no comments
0
Deep Learning ourselves into the unknown
3
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
When will California's High-Speed Rail be open for service between San Francisco and Anaheim?
2048-02-03
6
1 comment
1
Verity
Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?
15%
5
8 comments
8
Regulation of AI
Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?
10%
3
4 comments
4
The Taiwan Tinderbox
On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?
3.73
10
10 comments
10
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
condition
U.S. Nukes to Japan or Philippines by 2035?
if yes
if no
US-China war before 2035?
1%
1%
US-China war before 2035?
7%
7%
2
no comments
0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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