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In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code ยง 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?
20%
4
7 comments
7
Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?
1%
4
11 comments
11
When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
Jul 8, 2027
Waymo
Nov 22, 2026
Any Service
Oct 24, 2026
11
94 comments
94
Announcing FluSight Challenge 2022/23
7
5 comments
5
FluSight Challenge 2022/23
What will be the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) at the end of July of the following years?
2024:
1.04k
8
3 comments
3
Will there be an emergency shutdown at a Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) facility before January 1, 2025?
4%
2
2 comments
2
AI in China
Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?
Iowa
98%
Alaska
98%
Ohio
96%
20 others
36
249 comments
249
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
33.3%
Florida
23.6%
47 others
8
30 comments
30
How many congressional seats will California lose as a result of the 2030 census?
1
40%
2
32%
โฅ3
30%
2 others
2
15 comments
15
Who will win the 2024 Senate election in Arizona?
Ruben Gallego (D)
80%
Kari Lake (R)
19%
Other Democratic Nominee
0.2%
2 others
3
28 comments
28
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