Question

Will a Fortune 500 Global non-tech company train a frontier AI model before 2026?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction9%

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50%

community: 9%

Authors:

odelaney PeterWildeford

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Future of AI

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?

83%

If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?

54%

Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

odelaney PeterWildeford

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Future of AI

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?

83%

If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?

54%