Question

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

20 comments20

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?

26%

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

40%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?

26%

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

40%