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Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
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0
Metaculus Journal
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9
Metaculus Journal
Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?
10%
5
20 comments
20
Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?
26%
6
5 comments
5
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
150k
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
15
20 comments
20
How many FAO domestic food price warnings in spring 2023?
Resolved :
16
2
6 comments
6