Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?
7
77 comments
77
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
44
Community Prediction
4.04
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
3.891
4.045
4.332
Background Info
Authors:
TNTOutburst
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Politics
September 11 attacks
Iran hostage crisis
Supreme Court of the US
2024 Elections (US)
NATO
Korean War
Allan Lichtman
Vladimir Keilis-Borok
The Keys to the White House
2000 United States presidential election recount in Florida
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
TNTOutburst
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Politics
September 11 attacks
Iran hostage crisis
Supreme Court of the US
2024 Elections (US)
NATO
Korean War
Allan Lichtman
Vladimir Keilis-Borok
The Keys to the White House
2000 United States presidential election recount in Florida
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Election 2024: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Polls and Odds
Newsweek
•
Sep 13, 2024
A Trump mystery makes election outcome even murkier
FOX News
•
Sep 17, 2024
Ten True Things Regarding the Election and America
CounterPunch
•
Sep 20, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Election 2024: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Polls and Odds
Newsweek
•
Sep 13, 2024
A Trump mystery makes election outcome even murkier
FOX News
•
Sep 17, 2024
Ten True Things Regarding the Election and America
CounterPunch
•
Sep 20, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024?
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
56%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024?
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
56%
Show More Questions