Question

Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters108

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

amygdala

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Martial law in Russia

Vladimir Putin

Foreign policy of Vladimir Putin

Russia

2024 Russian presidential election

Federal subjects of Russia

When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?

2026-05-03

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

18%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

amygdala

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Martial law in Russia

Vladimir Putin

Foreign policy of Vladimir Putin

Russia

2024 Russian presidential election

Federal subjects of Russia

Russia-Ukraine war: Putin orders Russia to boost size of army

CNN•Sep 16, 2024

Putin orders third increase in Russian troop numbers since Ukraine invasion

Al Jazeera•Sep 17, 2024

Is a political settlement between Russia and Ukraine on the cards? I am sceptical | Rajan Menon

Guardian•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?

2026-05-03

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

18%