When AI concern go mainstream in US?

conditional

condition

AI-driven attack on US election on Facebook

if yes

if no

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

2025-06-09

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

2026-05-02

no comments0

Make a Prediction

AI-driven attack on US election on Facebook	When AI concern go mainstream in US?
if yes	My Prediction: -
if no	My Prediction: -

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2035-01-01

...

2024-11-14 17:38

2025-06-09 18:13

2026-03-06 13:25

1.6%

Forecast Timeline

Yes

Authors:

dschwarz

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

United States

Astroturfing

2020 US presidential election

Gallup (company)

Nate Silver

AI in 2024 Presidential Debates → When AI concern go mainstream in US?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dschwarz

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

United States

Astroturfing

2020 US presidential election

Gallup (company)

Nate Silver

The Real AI Threat Starts When the Polls Close

Atlantic•Sep 12, 2024

All AI has done this election is convince Taylor Swift to endorse Harris

Business Insider•Sep 12, 2024

Most Americans don’t trust AI-powered election information: AP-NORC/USAFacts survey

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

AI in 2024 Presidential Debates → When AI concern go mainstream in US?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?

70%