Question

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

57 comments57

Total Forecasters179

Community Prediction15%

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50%

community: 15%

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Safety

Geopolitics

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Cyber-security regulation

Communication

Deepfake

Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Before 2026, how many US states will pass legislation regulating deepfakes?

32.4

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Safety

Geopolitics

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Cyber-security regulation

Communication

Deepfake

The Real AI Threat Starts When the Polls Close

Atlantic•Sep 12, 2024

The deepfakes of Trump and Biden that you are most likely to fall for

New Scientist•Sep 13, 2024

Google will begin flagging AI-generated images in Search later this year

TechCrunch•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Before 2026, how many US states will pass legislation regulating deepfakes?

32.4