Question

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction78%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 78%

Authors:

zoehtwilliams

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Safety

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

US dollar

Artificial intelligence

1000 (number)

Chatbot

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

91%

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

69%

Will ChatGPT-like bots accurately describe their own reward mechanisms before 2025?

49%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

zoehtwilliams

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Safety

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

US dollar

Artificial intelligence

1000 (number)

Chatbot

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Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

91%

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

69%

Will ChatGPT-like bots accurately describe their own reward mechanisms before 2025?

49%