Question

In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction55.1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

46.61

55.06

66.15

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Verity

Law

Politics

Planned Parenthood v. Casey

Supreme Court of the US

Reproductive medicine

Pediatrics

Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

Will there be a 10X growth in number of legal abortions conducted in Poland before 2031?

55%

In what percent of US states will capital punishment be legal in 2035?

38.7

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Verity

Law

Politics

Planned Parenthood v. Casey

Supreme Court of the US

Reproductive medicine

Pediatrics

Here’s Where Abortion Is On The Ballot In November—As Missouri Measure Upheld In Court

Forbes•Sep 12, 2024

Here’s Where Abortion Is On The Ballot This November

Daily Wire•Sep 13, 2024

The inside story of how Sandra Day O’Connor rebuffed pressure from Scalia and others to overturn Roe v. Wade

CNN•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

Will there be a 10X growth in number of legal abortions conducted in Poland before 2031?

55%

In what percent of US states will capital punishment be legal in 2035?

38.7