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Will Roe v. Wade be formally overturned by July 31, 2028?

resultYes

Will Whole Woman's Health be overturned in 2020?

resultNo

By 2022, Will at least one abortion ban currently blocked by US federal courts go into effect?

resultNo

Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023?

resultYes

Vox Future Perfect Predictions for 2022

8
5 comments5
Future Perfect 2022 Series

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

8%chance

In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?

54.4%

Will inter-racial marriage be banned in any US State by 2030?

0.1%chance

Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

Key Factor

Donald Trump has stated that abortion policy should be set by the states, and his vice-presidential nominee, JD Vance, has expressed opposition to a national abortion ban.

15%chance

Key Factor

Donald Trump has stated that abortion policy should be set by the states, and his vice-presidential nominee, JD Vance, has expressed opposition to a national abortion ban.

Will Brandy Bottone, the pregnant woman pulled over in Texas for an HOV lane violation, be found guilty in court?

resultNo