Question

Will humanity (essentially) run out of at least one element currently considered "under serious threat" by 2040?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters148

Community Prediction37%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 36.9%

median 36.9%mean 37.0%

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

University of Augsburg

Copper

American Chemical Society

The Register

Germanium

Will humanity find and exploit a new source of xenon on Earth before 2040?

25%

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

30%

Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?

98%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

University of Augsburg

Copper

American Chemical Society

The Register

Germanium

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Will humanity find and exploit a new source of xenon on Earth before 2040?

25%

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

30%

Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?

98%