Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
๐บ๐ธ
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
๐ณ๏ธ
US Elections
โจ๐
Top Questions
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?
67%
33
22 comments
22
Will we reach the island of stability by 2050?
36%
25
5 comments
5
Will humanity (essentially) run out of at least one element currently considered "under serious threat" by 2040?
37%
15
17 comments
17
Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?
67%
24
33 comments
33
Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?
3%
12
9 comments
9
Ragnarรถk Series
Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?
60%
28
11 comments
11
Verity
Will a von Neumann probe be launched before 2050?
10%
12
8 comments
8
What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?
436
17
no comments
0
Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?
84%
52
46 comments
46
Will James Bedford be revived or emulated before 2200?
7%
4
9 comments
9
Load more