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Will humanity (essentially) run out of at least one element currently considered "under serious threat" by 2040?
37%
15
17 comments
17
Will the significant discrepancies in Hubble parameter determinations be resolved by 2030 within the ΛCDM standard cosmological model?
51%
14
11 comments
11
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
47%
6
6 comments
6
Ragnarök Series
Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025?
21%
5
21 comments
21
Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025?
7%
no comments
0
The Decarbonization of Heat in the UK
8
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
What will be the total value of the green hydrogen/ammonia market in 2050 (in trillions 2021 USD)?
10e-1
1
6 comments
6
Will >1% of global primary aluminum be produced by carbon-free technology before 2030?
44%
7
10 comments
10
When will the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure be performed on a human?
2032-03-23
14
4 comments
4
AI Demonstrations
When will at least 1% of global cement production be carbon-neutral?
2033-01-04
9
7 comments
7
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