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Will humanity (essentially) run out of at least one element currently considered "under serious threat" by 2040?
37%
15
17 comments
17
How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?
74.3k
13
10 comments
10
What will be the highest pixel resolution of commercially available optical satellite imagery, purchasable in a NATO country, in the year 2050?
14.5
8
8 comments
8
The Colorado River and the Southwestern US Under Climate Change
9
1 comment
1
Metaculus Journal
If the SF Bay Area is struck with magnitude 7.8 or higher earthquake by 2052, how many people will die?
587
10
no comments
0
What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?
48.8
8
6 comments
6
What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?
2024:
6
10 comments
10
Climate Tipping Points Round 1
A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?
Resolved :
No
5
2 comments
2
How many earthquakes of magnitude 5 or stronger will occur worldwide in May 2018?
Resolved :
139
4
4 comments
4
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
When will the next volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland begin?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
5
14 comments
14
🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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