Question

Will the US President continue to have unrestricted authority to use nuclear weapons by 2030?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters99

Community Prediction93%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 93%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

Law of the United States

United States Strategic Command

President of the US

United States

Commander-in-chief

Will the US President’s ability to deploy military force be further restricted by 2030?

25%

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

22%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

Law of the United States

United States Strategic Command

President of the US

United States

Commander-in-chief

America Should Avoid, Not Fight, Future Nuclear Wars

American Conservative•Sep 12, 2024

Biden’s Legacy: the Decline of Arms Control and Disarmament

CounterPunch•Sep 13, 2024

Harris, Trump & the Race to Oblivion

Consortium News•Sep 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US President’s ability to deploy military force be further restricted by 2030?

25%

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

22%