Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?
1 comment
1
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
19
Community Prediction
1.82e-1
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
6.577e-2
1.818e-1
3.288e-1
Background Info
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Nuclear winter
Nuclear Science and Techniques
Environmental science
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Nuclear winter
Nuclear Science and Techniques
Environmental science
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Inside Kim Jong Un's nuclear weapon factory: First-ever images of North Korea's uranium enrichment plant revealed as dictator visits military facilities and urges increase in tactical nuke production
Daily Mail
•
Sep 13, 2024
Southern boom town that is just 24 miles away from dangerous canyon contaminated by plutonium
Daily Mail
•
Sep 15, 2024
Russia is 'fully ready' to detonate a nuclear bomb in the Arctic 'any moment', it is revealed as Putin is urged to use apocalyptic explosion to threaten the West
Daily Mail
•
Sep 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Inside Kim Jong Un's nuclear weapon factory: First-ever images of North Korea's uranium enrichment plant revealed as dictator visits military facilities and urges increase in tactical nuke production
Daily Mail
•
Sep 13, 2024
Southern boom town that is just 24 miles away from dangerous canyon contaminated by plutonium
Daily Mail
•
Sep 15, 2024
Russia is 'fully ready' to detonate a nuclear bomb in the Arctic 'any moment', it is revealed as Putin is urged to use apocalyptic explosion to threaten the West
Daily Mail
•
Sep 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?
4.27e-1
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by the US by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?
2.69e-2
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?
2.19e-1
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?
4.27e-1
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by the US by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?
2.69e-2
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?
2.19e-1
Show More Questions