Question

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

34 comments34

Total Forecasters423

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Comments

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Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

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Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%