Question

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters53

Community Prediction60%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 60%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

Iran

Bahrain–Israel relations

Nuclear Science and Techniques

Morocco

Nuclear program of Iran

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

55%

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

Iran

Bahrain–Israel relations

Nuclear Science and Techniques

Morocco

Nuclear program of Iran

The Case Against Israeli-Saudi Normalization

Foreign Affairs•Sep 17, 2024

Saudi Diplomat: Iran-Backed Houthis Holding ‘World as Hostage,’ Biden’s ‘Pinprick Bombings’ Aren’t Enough

Breitbart•Sep 17, 2024

US, UK fears Russia may be helping Iran’s nuclear weapons program: report

New York Post•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

55%

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

70%