Question

What will be the largest grouping of stars in the Milky Way, in the year 1 billion, that don't seem to be militarily hostile to each other?

39 comments39

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction6.41e-1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1e-11

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

9.6%

1.518e-4

6.413e-1

8.875e-1

Authors:

Jotto

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%

In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?

9.22M

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%

Comments

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Authors:

Jotto

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

See giant gas bubbles move on the surface of a nearby star

CNN•Sep 12, 2024

When Will The Milky Way Smash Into The Andromeda Galaxy? It May Already Be Underway, Say Scientists

Forbes•Sep 13, 2024

Supermassive Black Hole Spotted Starving Galaxy To Death

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%

In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?

9.22M

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%