M

Question

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?

9
13
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction4.27e-1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
1.328e-2
4.27e-1
8.8e-1
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersMichaelA
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Nuclear winter
Nuclear Science and Techniques
Peaceful nuclear explosion
Environmental science
Nuclear weapons testing

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