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What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?
9
13 comments
13
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1w
2m
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Total Forecasters
28
Community Prediction
4.27e-1
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Probability Density
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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
1.328e-2
4.27e-1
8.8e-1
Background Info
Authors:
Metaculus-Partners
MichaelA
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Nuclear winter
Nuclear Science and Techniques
Peaceful nuclear explosion
Environmental science
Nuclear weapons testing
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Authors:
Metaculus-Partners
MichaelA
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Nuclear winter
Nuclear Science and Techniques
Peaceful nuclear explosion
Environmental science
Nuclear weapons testing
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
America Should Avoid, Not Fight, Future Nuclear Wars
American Conservative
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Sep 12, 2024
Harris, Trump & the Race to Oblivion
Consortium News
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Sep 16, 2024
Russia is 'fully ready' to detonate a nuclear bomb in the Arctic 'any moment', it is revealed as Putin is urged to use apocalyptic explosion to threaten the West
Daily Mail
•
Sep 17, 2024
Show More News
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
America Should Avoid, Not Fight, Future Nuclear Wars
American Conservative
•
Sep 12, 2024
Harris, Trump & the Race to Oblivion
Consortium News
•
Sep 16, 2024
Russia is 'fully ready' to detonate a nuclear bomb in the Arctic 'any moment', it is revealed as Putin is urged to use apocalyptic explosion to threaten the West
Daily Mail
•
Sep 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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