Question

Will we reach the island of stability by 2050?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters163

Community Prediction36%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 36%

median 36.0%mean 39.7%

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Nuclear Science and Techniques

Education

Will we discover clear evidence of proton decay by 2040?

20%

When will evidence of successful synthesis of the element ununennium be published?

2030-07-09

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Nuclear Science and Techniques

Education

Will the toughest problem in maths ever be solved?

Spectator (UK)•Sep 12, 2024

The Four Policemen: Yesterday and Today

OpEdNews•Sep 18, 2024

Hopes for new physics dashed by ordinary-looking W bosons at CERN

New Scientist•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will we discover clear evidence of proton decay by 2040?

20%

When will evidence of successful synthesis of the element ununennium be published?

2030-07-09

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

50%