Question

While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction8.53

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<3.3e-2

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>33

...

11.4%

6.027e-1

8.534

37.9%

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Brain Preservation Foundation

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

2.15

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

7.4e-1

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Brain Preservation Foundation

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What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

2.15

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

7.4e-1