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Will James Bedford be revived or emulated before 2200?
7%
4
9 comments
9
Will Alcor offer the use of a fixative during cryopreservation procedures before 2030?
53%
10
10 comments
10
Will the United States Environmental Protection Agency pass a PFAS Maximum Contaminant Level rule for all municipal water systems in the United States by January 1, 2030?
67%
3
3 comments
3
While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?
8.53
3
2 comments
2
Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?
70%
6
4 comments
4
Ragnarรถk Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
47%
6
6 comments
6
Ragnarรถk Series
A public prediction by Scott Alexander
1
no comments
0
Scott Alexander
What will be the total global disease burden (in DALYs) due to lead exposure in the following years?
2023:
21.8M
5
no comments
0
Forecasting Our World in Data
Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025?
4%
15
38 comments
38
How many doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031?
Microbiology and immunology
1.07k
Physics
1.88k
Genetics and genomics
557
9 others
6
3 comments
3
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