Question

Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters174

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

median 99.0%mean 97.3%

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

31%

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Donald Trump Says He Won't Run Again in 2028 if Defeated by Kamala Harris

Newsweek•Sep 22, 2024

'That will be it': Trump shares decision on a presidential run in 2028

USA Today•Sep 23, 2024

Donald Trump says he doesn’t believe he will run in 2028 if he loses in November

Independent•Sep 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

31%

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

25%