Question

Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction14%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 14%

median 14.0%mean 15.1%

Authors:

periastron

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

IAU definition of planet

International Astronomical Union

Pluto

50000 Quaoar

Literature

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

periastron

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

IAU definition of planet

International Astronomical Union

Pluto

50000 Quaoar

Literature

Earth to get a new 'mini-moon' for more than 50 days

Daily Mail•Sep 16, 2024

Earth is about to get a mini-moon (temporarily). What to know about asteroid 2024 PT5.

USA Today•Sep 19, 2024

Bus-size asteroid being sucked toward Earth will become ‘temporary mini-moon’

New York Post•Sep 19, 2024

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Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%