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Will a sample of negative energy be produced by 2100?
5%
21
8 comments
8
Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?
14%
7
9 comments
9
Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?
3%
17
18 comments
18
What percentage of US GDP will be spent on R&D in 2030?
2.84
4
no comments
0
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Scientific Research in 2030?
147M
1
no comments
0
Future Effective Altruism Resources Series
Ultraviolet Catastrophes and Turbulence
14
1 comment
1
If there's a nuclear conflict involving >100 detonations, will that cause >1 billion fatalities within 10 years?
60%
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?
22%
1
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
๐ฌAug 29โTransparent Replications: New Study
16
no comments
0
Transparent Replications
Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?
Study 2
58.25%
Study 1
53%
6
7 comments
7
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