Question

When the first company reaches a $10 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters85

Community Prediction29%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 29%

median 29.0%mean 33.2%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Yahoo! Finance

Paul Christiano

When will the first publicly traded company achieve a $10 trillion market capitalisation?

2031-04-24

When will a publicly traded company have a market cap of at least $5 trillion USD?

2028-06-24

When there will be the first European trillion-dollar company?

2030-05-02

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Yahoo! Finance

Paul Christiano

OpenAI’s Fund-Raising Talks Could Value Company at $150 Billion

New York Times•Sep 12, 2024

OpenAI is reportedly raising at a $150 billion valuation — making it worth more than 88% of Fortune 500 firms

Business Insider•Sep 12, 2024

Elon Musk is on track to become the world’s first trillionaire very soon

CNN•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the first publicly traded company achieve a $10 trillion market capitalisation?

2031-04-24

When will a publicly traded company have a market cap of at least $5 trillion USD?

2028-06-24

When there will be the first European trillion-dollar company?

2030-05-02