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How Many States or Jurisdictions Will Decide the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3
9 comments
9
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
6
Community Prediction
3.93
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Probability Density
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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10
...
...
...
2.72
3.934
4.949
0.1%
Background Info
Authors:
vibhav
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Law
Politics
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Authors:
vibhav
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Law
Politics
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
What are swing states, and why are they critical? What to know in 500 words
Al Jazeera
•
Sep 17, 2024
Why Pennsylvania is the key to a Harris or Trump Electoral College victory
The Conversation
•
Sep 18, 2024
These three states will essentially decide the 2024 presidential election
Independent
•
Sep 20, 2024
Show More News
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
What are swing states, and why are they critical? What to know in 500 words
Al Jazeera
•
Sep 17, 2024
Why Pennsylvania is the key to a Harris or Trump Electoral College victory
The Conversation
•
Sep 18, 2024
These three states will essentially decide the 2024 presidential election
Independent
•
Sep 20, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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