Question

Will a majority of voters approve Venezuela's referendum on incorporating Guayana Esequiba into Venezuela?

Resolved :Yes

14 comments14

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction93%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

84.7

Community Peer Score

8.3

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

International Court of Justice

Geneva Agreement (1966)

Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates?

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

63%

Will Nicolás Maduro be inaugurated for a new term in January 2025?

95%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

International Court of Justice

Geneva Agreement (1966)

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates?

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

63%

Will Nicolás Maduro be inaugurated for a new term in January 2025?

95%