Question

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have at least 20% of the market cap that TSMC has in 2028?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction32%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 31.8%

Authors:

DerMannOhneEigenschaften

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Semiconductor fabrication plant

Market capitalization

China

TSMC

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

55%

Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?

70%

Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DerMannOhneEigenschaften

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Semiconductor fabrication plant

Market capitalization

China

TSMC

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

55%

Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?

70%

Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?

80%