Question

Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023?

Resolved :No

56 comments56

Total Forecasters219

Community Prediction0%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

96.6

Community Peer Score

8.8

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

Geopolitics

Federal Security Service

Foreign policy of Vladimir Putin

Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

51%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

Geopolitics

Federal Security Service

Foreign policy of Vladimir Putin

War Map Reveals Russian Counteroffensive Advances in Kursk

Newsweek•Sep 12, 2024

Putin Aiming for Victory in Ukraine by 2026: Defense Experts

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2024

Russia War Map Shows Ukraine Carve Out New Incursion into Kursk

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

51%