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A public prediction by Francis Fukuyama
8
no comments
0
Francis Fukuyama
A public prediction by Mark Hertling
no comments
0
Mark Hertling
War of Attrition: Updated Endgame Forecasts for the Ukraine-Russia Conflict
16
6 comments
6
Metaculus Journal
How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting
21
3 comments
3
Metaculus Journal
Will Germany supply Ukraine with a Taurus missile in 2024?
5%
12
18 comments
18
Will Yulia Navalnaya ever become president or prime minister of Russia?
1%
5
6 comments
6
condition
Taurus Missile for Ukraine in 2024?
if yes
if no
Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2025?
18%
18%
Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2025?
9%
9%
2
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
Short Fuse: Will more than 1000 protesters be arrested in Moscow on the 3rd of August 2019?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
9
32 comments
32
Will an individual city be hit by 3 or more offensive nuclear detonations by 2024, if there's any detonation on or over a city by 2024?
Resolved :
Annulled
2
4 comments
4
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
7
56 comments
56
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
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