Question

Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters101

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

clearthis Caracoa

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

AI winter

Google Trends

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

70%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

clearthis Caracoa

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

AI winter

Google Trends

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Time•Sep 12, 2024

The Long Road to Genuine AI Mastery

Time•Sep 12, 2024

OpenAI is showing that the AI race is survival of the richest

Business Insider•Sep 12, 2024

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Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

70%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

75%