Question

Will an impactful penetration of a software supply chain be discovered by a party other than themselves in 2022?

Resolved :No

12 comments12

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction41%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 41%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-0.3

Community Peer Score

12.8

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

What Giant Data Breaches Mean for You

Scientific American•Sep 12, 2024

Major US Military Supplier Hacked by EvilWeb

Newsweek•Sep 13, 2024

Cyberattacks plague health care. Critics call the federal response 'inadequate'

NPR Online News•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch