Question

Will a major cloud service go down before March 8, 2023?

Resolved :Ambiguous

17 comments17

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction33%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Google Cloud Platform

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

10%

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Google Cloud Platform

Microsoft says its 365 service is down after users report outages

New York Post•Sep 12, 2024

What Giant Data Breaches Mean for You

Scientific American•Sep 12, 2024

Microsoft says service issues "fully resolved" after outage temporarily shuts down systems

CBS•Sep 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

10%