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Question
Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?
Resolved :NoTotal Forecasters440
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Community Peer Score
34.9
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Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?
1%
Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
10%
Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
48%
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Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?
1%
Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
10%
Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
48%