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How many people will fly to space for the first time in the 2020's?
7
7 comments
7
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
22
Community Prediction
619
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Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5k
...
...
...
340.8
618.9
1.634k
7.3%
Background Info
Authors:
GoldbergMachinations
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Technology
SpaceShipTwo
SpaceX reusable launch system
Atmospheric science
US Department of Defense
Virgin Galactic
New Shepard
Commercial astronaut
Aerospace engineering
Physics
Tiangong program
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Authors:
GoldbergMachinations
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Technology
SpaceShipTwo
SpaceX reusable launch system
Atmospheric science
US Department of Defense
Virgin Galactic
New Shepard
Commercial astronaut
Aerospace engineering
Physics
Tiangong program
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
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Sep 12, 2024
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News Match
SpaceX Polaris astronauts complete first spacewalk by private citizens
Washington Post
•
Sep 12, 2024
Polaris Dawn astronauts complete first commercial spacewalk
Guardian
•
Sep 12, 2024
SpaceX Polaris Dawn: Why the world’s first civilian spacewalk is finally making private space travel useful
Independent
•
Sep 12, 2024
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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