Question

Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?

Resolved :No

38 comments38

Total Forecasters371

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

89.2

Community Peer Score

56.7

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

National Guard of Russia

Lviv

Embassy of the United States, Moscow

Embassy of the United Kingdom, Kiev

Ukraine

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

51%

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

National Guard of Russia

Lviv

Embassy of the United States, Moscow

Embassy of the United Kingdom, Kiev

Ukraine

Is a political settlement between Russia and Ukraine on the cards? I am sceptical | Rajan Menon

Guardian•Sep 17, 2024

Putin Aiming for Victory in Ukraine by 2026: Defense Experts

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2024

Russia War Map Shows Ukraine Carve Out New Incursion into Kursk

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

51%

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%